◧ Market Mood
CANDLEWORK
THE RISK ROOM
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THE RISK ROOM

04 · A wing of the CANDLEWORK network

Traders don't blow up on losses. They blow up on size.

One rule outlives every strategy: risk a small, fixed fraction per trade. The Risk Room makes that concrete — size a position, see the damage a stop caps, and think in R instead of dollars.

The calculator

Size the trade before you take it

Enter your numbers. Everything updates live and stays on your device — nothing is sent anywhere. This is a math tool, not a recommendation.

0.5% risk1% risk2% risk
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%
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Position size (units)
Risk amount
Per-unit risk
Position value
Reward : Risk

Your stop caps the loss on this trade at the risk amount above.

The drawdown canyon

120 simulated runs of 60 coin-flip trades at your risk level — illustrative math, not a prediction. Watch the chasm deepen as risk rises.

The backtest bench

Does an edge survive the noise?

Say a pattern really does win slightly more than half the time. Run it a few hundred times against a pure coin flip and watch what happens: small edges hide inside the randomness, and trading costs eat them alive. Set the dials and run it — this is why honest backtesting humbles almost every "signal."

Each backtest = 200 trades at ±1R. Green = your pattern; grey = a 50% coin flip. Press run.
Under the hood

The hidden tax on every trade Pro layer

Your stop and size set your risk. But costs — spread, slippage, fees — quietly tax every single trade, and they compound.

// 01 · The spread

You start every trade at a loss

Buy at the ask, and you could only sell back at the lower bid — you're down the spread the instant you enter.

On a liquid market that's tiny; on a thin one it's brutal. Multiply it across every round-trip and it's a standing tax on activity. This is why overtrading is so corrosive: even with a coin-flip edge, costs turn break-even into a slow bleed.

// 02 · Slippage

Big orders pay to move price

The order book is layered; a large market order eats through levels and fills worse.

That gap between expected and actual fill is slippage, and the price you shove is market impact. It spikes in fast markets and around news. Defences: limit orders (price control, at the cost of maybe not filling), sizing to the market's real liquidity, and trading when depth is greatest. Often missing a trade beats a bad fill.

▸ Educational. Costs vary by broker, venue, and market — model your own before assuming an edge survives them. Not trading advice.

Why it works

Think in R, survive the streak

Fixed fractional

Small, constant risk

Risking a fixed 0.5–2% per trade means a losing streak bruises but never breaks you — position size shrinks automatically as the account does.

The R-multiple

One shared unit

Define 1R1R — one unit of risk: the distance from your entry to your stop-loss. Once defined, every trade is measured in R — a +2R win, a −1R loss — no matter the instrument or price. as the distance to your stop. Now every trade speaks the same language: a +2R win, a −1R loss. Dollars distract; R clarifies.

Drawdown math

Losses cost more to recover

Down 50% needs +100% to get back. Capping loss size isn't caution for its own sake — it's the arithmetic of staying in the game.

Common questions

How much should I risk per trade?

There is no universal number, and this is not advice — but a widely taught principle is to risk only a small, fixed percentage of the account per trade so no single loss is material. The point is survival: you cannot compound an account you have blown up.

What is an R-multiple?

R is your risk on a trade — the distance from entry to stop, in money. A trade that makes twice what you risked is +2R. Thinking in R makes results comparable across markets and position sizes.

Why is drawdown so dangerous?

Because losses compound against you asymmetrically: a 50% loss requires a 100% gain to recover. Deep drawdowns also destroy the discipline needed to trade the recovery properly.